NFL DR Mock 3.0: Revis Shakes Things UpPosted: April 25, 2013
Anytime a top-15 pick changes hands leading up to the draft, there will be changes to the expectations for many prospects as a result — essentially a domino effect from the pick (13th-overall in this case) down towards the end of the round (and even the end of the draft as a result).
The Darrelle Revis trade holds up the same, with the Jets’ draft strategy dramatically changed due to the addition of Tampa Bay’s first-round pick.
So what has changed the most? Let’s jump right in.
NFL DR Mock 2.0 picks are listed below. As with last mock, I’ll be doing two rounds once again.
1. Kansas City Chiefs – Central Michigan OT Eric Fisher
There have been interesting rumors that Kansas City may be looking at Eric Fisher to play right tackle (should they keep Branden Albert) because they believe that Fisher is a better right tackle than previous favorite Luke Joeckel. An Albert trade is looking less and less likely with the draft only hours away, and Fisher is a solid pick up to play either blind side or to anchor the right side, offering a long term solution that Branden Albert likely can’t if the Chiefs can’t get sign him long term.
There are rumors that Kansas City has looked at Florida defensive tackle Sharrif Floyd, but likely KC is simply doing their due diligence.
Previous pick: Texas A&M OT Luke Joeckel
2. Jacksonville Jaguars – Texas A&M OT Luke Joeckel
Latest reports have Joeckel and Fisher going in the top-two, and Jacksonville definitely can use a tackle — pass-rusher is a big need as well, but there’s plenty to go around in this year’s draft class. Cornerback is still a major concern (even after the addition of Cary Williams), but one that can be solved by taking a corner who falls from the first-round in this years’s deep draft class.
Previous pick: Oregon DE Dion Jordan
3. Oakland Raiders – Florida DT Sharrif Floyd
Floyd has been the clear pick for Oakland for weeks now. If he’s there at no. 3, the Raiders will take the versatile big man to shore up the defensive line. The defensive line needs a ton of help and Floyd would be the keystone of the revamping — especially as Oakland is looking to implement a hybrid defensive scheme.
4. Philadelphia Eagles – Oklahoma OT Lane Johnson
The Eagles need to get a tackle to shore up the line, and Johnson’s stock has been on the rise for quite a while now. Much of Michael Vick’s struggles in 2012 stemmed from a lack of protection, and if Vick is to return to being an impact player he’ll need to stay healthy and he’ll need time to make plays — and the athletic Johnson fits the bill.
Previous pick: Central Michigan OT Eric Fisher
5. Detroit Lions – BYU DE Ezekiel Ansah
I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again: Detroit is enamored with Ansah ever since coaching him at the Senior Bowl. It would be interesting if Schwartz ultimately decided to take Dion Jordan, as in this case he is still on the board at no. 5. Ansah may be a bit of a project, as he has very limited experience before latching on at Brigham Young, but the sky is the limit for the extremely athletic Ansah. With the loss of Cliff Avril and Kyle Vandenbosch this offseason, it’s a no-brainer to go for a pass-rusher to shore up Detroit’s biggest position of need.
6. Cleveland Browns – Oregon OLB Dion Jordan
The rumors that Geno Smith could be headed to Cleveland should not be believed. Yes, quarterback is a concern (and the new coaching staff has no ties to 2012 first-round pick Brandon Weeden), but the pass-rush needs some help — and with Jordan still available there’s a very good chance he won’t get past the Browns at sixth-overall. Jordan would step in as a starter, allowing Paul Kruger and Jabaal Sheard share snaps at the other standing rusher position in Cleveland’s new 3-4 defense.
Previous pick: Alabama CB Dee Milliner
7. Arizona Cardinals – LSU OLB Barkevious Mingo
The addition of Carson Palmer makes the selection of a quarterback less likely. Thus, the biggest needs are now offensive tackle and pass-rusher. With the recent fall of Jarvis Jones on draft boards, that leaves Mingo as the top pass-rusher available. Mingo would step in immediately as an upgrade over incumbent starter Sam Acho — who could step in and start at middle linebacker in Daryl Washington’s absence (four-game suspension).
I would look for Arizona to zero in on a strong-arm quarterback in the likes of Mike Glennon in the second-round.
8. Buffalo Bills – West Virginia QB Geno Smith
All Ryan Nassib links aside, I simply do not see Smith eluding the top-10 — or eluding the Bills should he be available at eighth-overall. Should the Bills truly want to skip on Smith, expect a team to trade up in front of New York to grab the top quarterback in the draft class. Smith would give Buffalo a franchise quarterback that’s been dearly needed for years, replacing free-agent acquisition Kevin Kolb at starter.
9. New York Jets – West Virginia WR Tavon Austin
With Mingo off the board, there is only one other pass-rusher with a possible top-10 grade: Jarvis Jones. However, a poor Pro Day has dramatically affected his stock to the point that he’s likely to fall out of the top-10 — instead of going pass-rusher the Jets can pick up the most explosive receiver in the draft in Austin. Rumors are New York is enamored with the rising star ever since posting a blazing 4.34 40-yard dash time. Forget losing Dustin Keller, Austin will offer a threat from the slot and displays upside similar to Percy Harvin.
Previous pick: Georgia OLB Jarvis Jones
10. Tennessee Titans – North Carolina OG Jonathan Cooper
The Titans don’t have many clear needs on offense, and thus Cooper makes sense. Most analysts agree that the Titans favor Cooper over fellow first-round projected guard Chance Warmack, as Cooper better fits Tennessee’s zone blocking system. While several teams in the latter part of the top-10 are known to be considering Cooper, it’s tough to believe a guard will be taken in single digits when no guard has been selected in the top-10 in over a decade.
Previous pick: Alabama OG Chance Warmack
11. San Diego Chargers – Alabama OG Chance Warmack
San Diego sorely needs help on the offensive line, and with three tackles off of the board it makes sense to go for a guard. With the loss of Louis Vazquez to the division-rival Broncos in free-agency, Warmack makes more sense than reaching for tackle D.J. Fluker. Protecting Phillip Rivers needs to be San Diego’s no. 1 priority, as they need to decide whether it’s a lack of weapons, a lack of protection, or an overall lack of production that plagues Rivers — Warmack aids protection against the interior rush and the Chargers can go out and get a tackle in free-agency rather than drafting one.
Previous pick: Oklahoma OT Lane Johnson
12. Miami Dolphins – Houston CB D.J. Hayden
The addition of Brent Grimes may have lessened some concerns about the cornerback position, but Grimes’ injury history leaves some concerns and there is the possibility he’ll only be a one-year rental. Hayden is favorable to Florida St. corner Xavier Rhodes and the earlier selection of Milliner takes the injury-questions of Alabama’s top corner something Miami can avoid. Tackle can be addressed later in the draft, and there’s still the possibility disgruntled Chiefs tackle Branden Albert could be on his way to Miami to man the blind side.
Previous pick: North Carolina OG Jonathan Cooper
13. New York Jets – Georgia OLB Jarvis Jones
As I said before, the Jets go for Jones at no. 13 to improve the pass-rush, an area that has been largely ignored in seasons past (no, Aaron Maybin and Calvin Pace were not legitimate solutions). Jones has been drawing comparisons to Terrell Suggs in past weeks following poor showing at his Pro Day. Many analysts, while acknowledging athletic limitations when compared to other pass-rusher prospects, claim that Jones is the most NFL-ready of the group and is set to produce at the professional level.
There are rumors that New York is targeting either Tavon Austin or Tyler Eifert with their second pick in the first round to add offensive weapons.
Previous pick: Buccaneers, West Virginia WR Tavon Austin
14. Carolina Panthers – Utah DT Star Lotulelei
Lotulelei has suffered from a fall on draft boards due to medical concerns surrounding his performance at the NFL Combine (which have since been cleared up). However, his stock hasn’t reached it’s previous high of top-5 — with some analysts even placing Lotulelei first-overall before the combine. While Missouri product Sheldon Richardson is a favored pick at 14th-overall, that is often because Lotulelei is already off the board in many mocks by this point. Lotuelei is athletic for his size and is better suited than Richardson for the Panthers’ defensive scheme.
15. New Orleans Saints – Georgia ILB Alec Ogletree
Moving to a 3-4 scheme won’t be easy for the Saints under new coordinator Rob Ryan, but with the top pass-rushers off the board it’s more likely they’ll look to improve on the interior of the ‘backer corps. Ogletree is unique from other linebackers in this draft in that he played safety in college as well as ‘backer, so he has better coverage chops than many other interior linebackers on the board. The Saints are a team to watch for potentially trading back in to the latter half of the first-round to pick up a pass-rusher like Datone Jones or Damontre Moore.
16. St. Louis Rams – Clemson WR DeAndre Hopkins
Other than rumors of trashing his hotel room while at the NFL Combine, Hopkins has gotten very favorable coverage in the press as of recent weeks. Hopkins’ stock has increased to the point that he’s likely eclipsed Tennessee’s Cordarrelle Patterson as the favorite to come off the board following Tavon Austin. The Rams have been closely watching Hopkins since the combine, and comparisons to Roddy White preface thoughts from analysts that Hopkins could end up being the weapon Sam Bradford needs to succeed now that both Danny Amendola and Brandon Gibson have departed in free-agency.
Previous pick: Tennessee WR Cordarrelle Patterson
17. TRADE – Minnesota Vikings – Missouri DT Sheldon Richardson
With two picks in the first-round, Minnesota decides to trade up from 23rd-overall to no. 17, sacrificing multiple picks this year and next year (while keeping their second-round pick this year). Pittsburgh has few needs other than offensive line and pass-rusher, and while some draftniks have the Steelers jumping on Tyler Eifert, I’m of the mindset they’ll trade down in this situation to recoup some value rather than overdraft Eifert. For the Vikings, they decide to jump in front of Dallas to ensure they get a defensive tackle they like — in this case Sheldon Richardson. With an aging tackle group, Richardson offers an excellent addition for both the present and future.
Previous pick: Steelers, Florida St. OLB Bjoern Werner
18. Dallas Cowboys – North Carolina DT Sylvester Williams
With Richardson off the board, Dallas has no choice but to reach for Williams at 18th-overall if they’re going to try and beef up a defense that’s in the midst of a scheme adjustment to a 4-3 front after the departure of Rob Ryan. Williams will fit nicely into Monte Kiffin’s Tampa 2 scheme, as he’s athletic for this size and offers both a plus pass-rush and defends the run well. He’s got a high motor and is a good piece to build around on the defensive line, especially with undersized pass-rushers like Demarcus Ware at defensive end.
Previous pick: Missouri DT Sheldon Richardson
19. New York Giants – Washington CB Desmond Trufant
It’s no secret that the Giants need to beef up their defensive backfield. Corey Webster has clearly lost a step, Prince Amukamara has struggled to stay on the field thus far in his career, and anybody who counts Terrell Thomas and Aaron Ross as quality starters should report to a psych ward immediately. Trufant offers a better option than Florida State’s Xavier Rhodes due to play style — Trufant is more balanced, rather than man-coverage based. Trufant should be able to start immediately (possibly pushing Webster from a starting role) and can not only play outside, but also cover the slot and even play safety in a pinch.
20. Chicago Bears – Kansas State LB Arthur Brown
While this may be a bit higher than many have Brown, the Bears need help at linebacker (that Manti Te’o simply cannot fix). D.J. Williams is better suited to play weak side ‘backer (where he had the most success in Denver), but is ticketed to play in the middle as of now. James Anderson (who’s playing on the weak side) is not an NFL-caliber starter. Lance Briggs is nearing retirement. With these factors combined, why not bring in a linebacker who could step in and start at the inside spot (letting Williams bounce outside) while offering flexibility to play multiple ‘backer positions?
Previous pick: Alabama OT D.J. Fluker
21. Cincinnati Bengals – Florida International S Jonathan Cyprien
Cyprien has been gradually climbing boards (and gaining favor among draftniks) over the past several weeks due to his football acumen and athleticism. The Bengals reportedly like Cyprien — and one can see why when scouts compare the FIU product to both Troy Polamalu due to his range and athleticism at safety and Ed Reed due to his ability to read quarterbacks — and dearly need to upgrade on incumbent Taylor Mays, who has proved to be a major liability in coverage since his addition in 2011.
Previous Pick: Florida S Matt Elam
22. St. Louis Rams – Texas S Kenny Vaccaro
To say the Rams are in need of a safety is an understatement — after the release of Quintin Mikell there is simply no talent at either safety position on the St. Louis roster. This is where Vaccaro comes in, as he’s versatile enough to play either safety position — thus allowing the Rams to look at many different options when considering who to pair with Vaccaro as their starting safeties. St. Louis would be thrilled to see Vaccaro still on the board at no. 22.
Previous Pick: FIU S Jonathan Cyprien
23. Pittsburgh Steelers – Notre Dame TE Tyler Eifert
This is a more appropriate spot for Eifert to go. While I’m not too sure why the Steelers seem so worried about Heath Miller’s recovery this offseason, I can see why they’d love to get a playmaker in Eifert. Another weapon for Big Ben to throw to, Eifert’s addition could have a positive effect in letting the team bring Miller back slowly and then form a lethal two-TE attack when he’s healthy enough to contribute — trying to make up for the loss of Mike Wallace in the process.
While the pass-rush is still a concern now that James Harrison is gone, the best on the board (Bjoern Werner, for example) are more suited to playing 4-3 end than 3-4 outside ‘backer.
Previous pick: Vikings, UCLA DE Datone Jones
24. Indianapolis Colts – Florida St. CB Xavier Rhodes
This one is an open-and-shut case. Indy’s pass defense was shredded by Joe Flacco in the wildcard matchup earlier this year, and frankly it was because the Colts’ corners are not starting caliber. Rhodes would step in immediately as a starter in their system, and is a steal this late in the round.
25. Minnesota Vikings – Tennesse WR Cordarrelle Patterson
It’s about time Patterson’s name was called. The electrifying Tennessee product can play every receiver position you ask of him, and he’ll play them all well. The departure of Percy Harvin means the receiver corps is hurting, even after the addition of Greg Jennings. Patterson is a clear upgrade over the likes of annual under-performer Jerome Simpson — and in the process hopefully help boost the development of struggling youngster Christian Ponder.
Previous pick: USC WR Robert Woods
26. Green Bay Packers – Florida St. OT Menelik Watson
The Packers may have wanted Eifert, but he’s already off the board at no. 26. So, another solution is the mauling Watson, as he could fix a problem at left tackle that the Packers have been unable to fix for several seasons. Watson is a monster tackle and that took up football relatively late in his career, but with some work he has the potential to be a franchise tackle. While Watson is old (he’s already 25-years-old), Green Bay won’t get a shot at him late in the second-round. It’s simply not plausible for Green Bay to jump for Eddie Lacy this early, and running back is a position of relative depth in the 2013 NFL Draft.
Previous pick: Notre Dame TE Tyler Eifert
27. Houston Texans – Tennessee WR Justin Hunter
Hunter is an explosive receiver, one that Greg Cosell called the “most physically talented wide receiver” in the 2013 NFL Draft class. This is the type of receiver Houston needs to pair with the aging (but still elite-level) Andre Johnson if they’re going to sustain a combination of passing and running with Arian Foster. If any receiver is going to develop into your prototypical no. 1 target in this year’s draft class, Hunter is likely the best bet.
Previous pick: Clemson WR DeAndre Hopkins
28. Denver Broncos – Florida St. DE Bjoern Werner
Faxgate may have come and go, but the Broncos will be hurting without Dumervil for seasons to come. At no. 28, the Broncos have a chance to try and plug that gap with a better pass-rusher in Werner than the current starter (Robert Ayers). Unlike last year, rumors out of Denver have John Elway confident that the team will use this pick rather than trade down, so it’s safe to say they’ll likely be picking rather than trading. The Broncos will need to look past Werner’s injury history, but his lack of strength does not worry the Broncos (who are used to having a poor run defender lined up at left end after Dumervil’s time in Denver).
Previous pick: Texas A&M DE Damontre Moore
29. New England Patriots – USC WR Robert Woods
Woods is one of the more polished receivers in the draft, and has gotten a boost from injury concerns revolving around California receiver Keenan Allen. The release of Brandon Lloyd has left a hole at receiver that cannot be replaced by Danny Amendola (who is himself attempting to replace Wes Welker), so getting one of the more NFL-ready receivers is a must to keep Tom Brady producing at an elite level (even the best quarterbacks can’t cut it with poor receivers).
Previous pick: Tennessee WR Justin Hunter
30. Atlanta Falcons – Oregon OG Kyle Long
Long is an intriguing prospect who’s been jumping up boards recently due to an ability to play both guard and tackle. The Oregon product of Long family fame (father Howie Long and brother of Chris Long) is extremely athletic for a lineman and has a room to grow as a player that many teams love in a draft prospect. The Falcons will have to overlook off-the-field problems if they’re going to select Long in the first-round.
Previous pick: Florida St. DE Cornellius Carradine
31. San Francisco 49ers – Southern Methodist DE Margus Hunt
The 49ers have made several additions to the defensive line this offseason, the biggest being Glenn Dorsey — who the San Francisco coaching staff plans to use at nose tackle in 2013. The fact of the matter is Justin Smith is getting up there in age and they need to find a replacement soon. Hunt has the ability to do this — and more. The Estonia native is strong and quick for his size, with an excellent build and skill set to play 3-4 end in the NFL.
Previous pick: Alabama DT Jesse Williams
32. Baltimore Ravens – Florida S Matt Elam
The Ravens are still in need of a safety after letting go of both Ed Reed and Bernard Pollard this offseason — even after signing ex-Raiders safety Michael Huff. Elam has the ability to do everything, and when combined with Huff would give the Ravens a lethal duo that could keep quarterbacks guessing all game long. Baltimore must upgrade on Christian Thompson and James Ihedigbo at some point in the draft, so why not in the first-round?
Previous pick: LSU ILB Kevin Minter
- (33) Jacksonville Jaguars: Syracuse QB Ryan Nassib
- (34) San Francisco 49ers: LSU S Eric Reid
- (35) Philadelphia Eagles: Florida St. QB E.J. Manuel
- (36) Detroit Lions: UCLA DE Datone Jones
- (37) Cincinnati Bengals: Alabama OT D.J. Fluker
- (38) Arizona Cardinals: North Carolina St. QB Mike Glennon
- Cleveland Browns: Exercised in 2012 Supplemental Draft (WR Josh Gordon)
- (39) New York Jets: Alabama CB Dee Milliner
- (40) Tennessee Titans: California WR Keenan Allen
- (41) Buffalo Bills: Syracuse OG Justin Pugh
- (42) Miami Dolphins: Mississippi St. CB Darius Slay
- (43) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Stanford TE Zach Ertz
- (44) Carolina Panthers: South Carolina S D.J. Swearinger
- New Orleans Saints: Forfeited in bounty investigation
- (45) San Diego Chargers: LSU ILB Kevin Minter
- (46) St. Louis Rams: Alabama RB Eddie Lacy
- (47) Dallas Cowboys: Wisconsin C Travis Frederick
- (48) Pittsburgh Steelers: Texas A&M DE Damontre Moore
- (49) New York Giants: Notre Dame ILB Manti Te’o
- (50) Chicago Bears: Cincinnati TE Travis Kelce
- (51) Washington Redskins: Mississippi St. Johnthan Banks
- (52) Minnesota Vikings: Boise St. CB Jamar Taylor
- (53) Cincinnati Bengals: Arkansas Pine-Bluff OT Terron Armstead
- (54) Miami Dolphins: Kent St. OG Brian Winters
- (55) Green Bay Packers: Georgia Southern S J.J. Wilcox
- (56) Seattle Seahawks: Alabama DT Jesse Williams
- (57) Houston Texans: Ohio St. DT Johnathan Hankins
- (58) Denver Broncos: Purdue DT Kawann Short
- (59) New England Patriots: Kentucky OG Larry Warford
- (60) Atlanta Falcons: Texas DE Alex Okafor
- (61) San Francisco 49ers: San Diego St. TE Gavin Escobar
- (62) Baltimore Ravens: Connecticut LB Sio Moore